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Clipped by Sam Stamper
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Saturday, 07 August 2010
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Mortgage rates dropped to the lowest level in decades for the sixth time in seven weeks, offering the most attractive opportunity for those who qualify to refinance or purchase a home. Government-controlled mortgage buyer Freddie Mac said Thursday that the average rate for 30-year fixed loans this week was 4.49 percent, down from 4.54 percent last week. That's the lowest since Freddie Mac began tracking rates in 1971. 30 Year Fixed Rate - 4.25% 15 Year Fixed Rate - 3.75% 40 Year Fixed Rate - 4.75% 20 Year Fixed Rate - 4.25% 10 Year Fixed Rate - 3.75% 3/1 & 5/1 ARM - 3.25% 7/1 ARM - 3.50% The average rate on the 15-year fixed loan dropped to 3.95 percent, down from 4 percent last week and the lowest on record. Rates have fallen since spring as investors seek the safety of U.S. Treasury bonds. That has lowered the yield on Treasurys. Mortgage rates tend to track those yields. The last time home loan rates were lower was during the 1950s, when most mortgages lasted just 20 or 25 years. Low rates have sparked some activity in the weak housing market, but not a massive boom in refinancing. Applications to refinance loans increased 1.3 percent and those to purchase homes increased 1.5 percent, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. Nevertheless, high unemployment, slow job growth and tight credit have made it difficult for many to purchase homes. The housing industry received a boost this spring when the government offered homebuying tax credits, but housing activity has plummeted since they expired in April. The number of buyers who signed contracts to purchase homes plunged in June to the lowest level on records dating back to 2001, according to the National Association of Realtors. To calculate the national average, Freddie Mac collects mortgage rates on Monday through Wednesday of each week from lenders around the country. Rates often fluctuate significantly, even within a given day. Rates on five-year adjustable-rate mortgages averaged 3.63 percent, down from 3.76 percent a week earlier. Rates on one-year adjustable-rate mortgages fell to an average of 3.55 percent from 3.64 percent. The rates do not include add-on fees known as points. One point is equal to 1 percent of the total loan amount. The nationwide fee for loans in Freddie Mac's survey averaged 0.7 a point for all loans. |
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Clipped by Sam Stamper
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Saturday, 07 August 2010
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Rates continue to drop lower as the 10 yr Treasury slides. Yields are Lower - Driving Mortgage Rates Lower. 30 Year Fixed Rate - 4.25% 15 Year Fixed Rate - 3.75% 40 Year Fixed Rate - 4.75% 20 Year Fixed Rate - 4.25% 10 Year Fixed Rate - 3.75% 3/1 & 5/1 ARM - 3.25% 7/1 ARM - 3.50% Employment Data Below Forecast A slow economic recovery and the possibility of a Fed policy change helped mortgage rates move a little lower again this week. As a result of recent weak economic data, the Fed is reportedly considering the purchase of additional mortgage-backed securities (MBS) to replace maturing securities. These factors, along with limited inflation, make current economic conditions supportive of low mortgage rates. In particular, Friday's weaker than expected Employment data was positive for mortgage rates. Against a consensus forecast for a loss of -90K jobs, the economy lost -131K jobs in July. This included the loss of -143K census positions. Private employers added 71K jobs, below expectations of 100K. The Unemployment Rate remained at 9.5%. Average Hourly Earnings, a proxy for wage growth, rose at a tame 1.8% annual rate. To stimulate the economy, the Fed purchased $1.25 trillion in mortgage-backed securities (MBS) in 2009 and early 2010. Due to defaults, refinancings, and maturities, some MBS "roll off" the Fed's portfolio every month. Until recently, investors expected the Fed to let its portfolio slowly shrink in this fashion. Tuesday, though, a Wall Street Journal article suggested that Fed officials are considering a plan to replace those securities with new purchases to further stimulate the economy. Investors are divided about whether recent economic data has been weak enough for the Fed to decide to do this. It may be addressed at the August 10 FOMC meeting. While the demand created by this action would be small compared to the original MBS purchase program, it would further support low mortgage rates. Friday’s bond market has opened in positive territory after this morning’s important economic news gave us somewhat favorable results. The stock markets have reacted negatively to the data, pushing the Dow down 117 points and the Nasdaq down 33 points. The bond market is currently up 13/32, which should improve this morning’s mortgage rates by approximately .125 - .250 of a discount point. Market Commentary
Friday morning’s data came from the Labor Department, who reported that the U.S. unemployment rate held at 9.5% last month and that 131,000 jobs were lost. The unemployment rate was expected to rise to 9.6%, so the news was not all great for the bond market. But analysts were expecting to see that the economy lost only 85,000 jobs. In addition, today’s report also revised June’s payroll loss higher by nearly 100,000, meaning June was much worse than previously thought. The larger than expected loss in payrolls and the sizable revision to June’s numbers have led to today’s solid open in bonds.
In a bit of bad news for bonds, it was also reported that average earnings were revised higher for June and rose 0.2% last month when they were expected to rise only 0.1%. The bond market does not like to see rising income because it raises concerns about wage inflation and gives consumers more funds to spend that fuels economic activity. However, that reading was not enough to erase the positive tone for bonds this morning.
The benchmark 10-year Treasury Note has broken below the pesky 2.90% that was a strong resistance point. This fact, along with the appearance that stocks may continue to fall today, leads me to believe we may see more improvements to mortgage rates this afternoon. While this is no guarantee, the indicators do point that direction in my opinion.
Next week will be a busy week for the bond market and mortgage rates with a few important economic reports, two relevant Treasury auctions and another FOMC meeting all on tap. The most important economic data comes late in the week and there is nothing of concern due Monday. |
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Mortgage rates this week hit record lows |
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Clipped by Sam Stamper
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Monday, 05 July 2010
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The average 30-year fixed rate falls to 4.58% from 4.69% last week, while the 15-year fixed rate slides to 4.04% from 4.13%. The drops follow the decline of Treasury yields. Los Angeles Times July 2, 2010 Mortgage rates sank to fresh record lows this week, following the trajectory of Treasury yields depressed by economic worries. Lenders this week were offering rates averaging 4.58% on 30-year fixed-rate loans of as much as $417,000, Freddie Mac said Thursday. That was down from 4.69% last week — the previous record low — and from 5.21% less than three months ago. Despite sub-5% rates, the number of Americans signing contracts to buy homes plunged in May after a deadline to qualify for a popular home-buyer tax credit passed. Moreover, mortgage application data show no sign of a pickup in housing demand since then. "The bad news is we're driving rates down, and there's still nothing on the housing sales side," said Anthony Sanders, a senior scholar in real estate finance at George Mason University's Mercatus Center. The average rate on 15-year fixed-rate mortgages dropped to a record 4.04% from 4.13% last week. The Freddie Mac survey, which began in 1971, asks lenders the rates they are offering a well-qualified borrower with a down payment of at least 20% or at least that much home equity. To get the rates offered, borrowers would have paid an average of 0.7% of the loan balance in upfront lender fees. Despite the cheap credit, an index of applications for loans to finance home purchases fell 3.3% last week from the week before, the Mortgage Bankers Assn. said Wednesday. Applications for loans to refinance existing mortgages, however, jumped 12.6% last week to the highest level in more than a year. In the bond market, Treasury yields have been sliding on worries about the global economy and the prospect that the U.S. could fall back into a recession. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note, a benchmark for fixed mortgage rates, dropped below 3% this week for the first time in more than a year. But Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have tightened their lending standards since the housing crash. In addition to the expiration of the home-buying tax credits, unemployment remains high, depressing housing demand. "We've exhausted what the government can do for the housing market," said Sanders, who predicts another decline in home prices. "The tax credits were the last hurrah of the stimulus." |
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Lowest Mortgage Rates since 1950 |
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Clipped by Sam Stamper
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Saturday, 26 June 2010
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Mortgage rates at lowest point since mid-1950s - If you are going to Refinance or Purchase - Now is a great time!! The are the best Mortgage Rates we have ever seen. These rates are low belcasue of all of the Economic Stimulus and Economic Uncertainty. People are rsuhing to security to buy Bonds - This is driveing rates down. Mortgages are cheaper today than they've been in a half-century. If only most people had the job security, the credit score and the cash to qualify. The average rate for a 30-year fixed loan sank to 4.69 percent this week, beating the low set in December and down from 4.75 percent last week, Freddie Mac said Thursday. Rates for 15-year and five-year mortgages also hit lows. Rates are at their lowest since the mortgage company began keeping records in 1971. The last time they were any cheaper was the 1950s, when most long-term home loans lasted just 20 or 25 years. Almost no one expects falling rates to energize the economy, though. Sales of new homes collapsed in May after an enticing tax credit expired. "As long as prospective homebuyers are still concerned about their jobs and financial well-being, many will be reluctant to take the plunge, even though affordability has never been better," said Greg McBride, senior financial analyst with Bankrate.com. Rates have fallen over the past two months as investors have become nervous about Europe's debt crisis and the global economy and have shifted money into safe Treasury bonds. The demand has caused Treasury yields to fall. Mortgage rates track those yields. While mortgages are getting cheaper, low interest rates hurt Americans who are trying to save. Puny rates for savings accounts and CDs are especially hard on people who are living on fixed incomes and earning next to nothing on their money. Americans normally rush to refinance when rates plummet. But refinancing activity now amounts to less than half the level of early 2009, when long-term rates hovered around 5 percent, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. Besides, many people who want to refinance — and are able to — have already done it, said Michael Fratantoni, vice president of research and economics at the trade group. And refinancing costs can total several thousand dollars. "Rates haven't dropped low enough to justify a second refinancing," Fratantoni said. "The group of people who could potentially benefit is much smaller than it was 15 months ago." Another factor: Many Americans owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth and can't refinance through the usual channels. The Obama administration has launched programs to help borrowers refinance if they owe up to 25 percent more than their home's value and have their loans guaranteed by mortgage giants Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae. About 291,000 homeowners have participated as of March — a small fraction of the estimated 15 million homeowners who are "underwater" on their mortgages. And in Nevada and Florida, where home prices have fallen 50 percent or more from their highs, neither record-low rates nor government help can rescue homeowners. "It's not the desire to refinance. It's the ability to refinance," said Chris Brown, a loan officer with Trinity Mortgage Co. in Orlando, Fla. Refinancing is generally considered worthwhile for homeowners who can shave at least three-quarters of a percentage point off the rates they pay now and plan to stay in their homes for a long time. Besides the fees for the mortgage broker or lender, there are fees for title insurance, a new appraisal, document processing and other charges. And in "no fee" mortgages, costs are often added to the loan amount or the interest rate is higher. To figure the national average, Freddie Mac collects mortgage rates each Monday through Wednesday from lenders around the country. Rates often fluctuate, even within a given day. Rates on 15-year fixed-rate mortgages fell to an average of 4.13 percent. That was the lowest since at least 1991 and down from 4.2 percent a week earlier. Rates on five-year adjustable-rate mortgages averaged 3.84 percent, down from 3.89 percent a week earlier. That was also the lowest on Freddie Mac's records, which date to January 2005 for those loans. |
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Lowest Rates in 38 Years - 4.5% |
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Clipped by Sam Stamper
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Saturday, 26 June 2010
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Mortgage rates hit new low - 4.5% 30 Year Fixed Rate If you are going to Refinance or Purchase a New Home - Mortgage rates hit a record low this week. These are the Lowest Rates I have ever seen. Freddie Mac said Thursday the going rate on a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell to 4.69%, its lowest level since the company started keeping track 38 years ago. The news comes as investors have been shunning stocks in favor of bonds, especially those backed by the federal government. Money has flowed out of stock funds and into bond funds for seven straight weeks, while surging demand for U.S. Treasury debt has taken the yield on the 10-year Treasury note down near 3% -- a level last seen in the meltdown of 2008.Lower mortgage rates, of course, make it cheaper to buy a house. But with unemployment stubbornly high, wages stagnant and tax incentives expiring, few people are taking the plunge.New home sales tumbled to an all-time low last month (see chart above), and economists at Capital Economics in Toronto say another round of house price declines is waiting in the wings."Once home sales fall back to fairly depressed levels, house prices will start declining too," economist Paul Dales wrote in a note to clients this week. "By the end of next year, we think they will be at least 5% lower."Though lower prices obviously will be good for buyers, a second leg down means our long national housing nightmare -- think foreclosures and bank failures -- is far from over. |
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Last Updated ( Saturday, 26 June 2010 )
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