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UPDATE 1-U.S. mortgage rate drop below 5 pct stirs demand PDF Print E-mail
Clipped by Sam Stamper   
Wednesday, 03 March 2010

NEW YORK, March 3 (Reuters) - U.S mortgage rates retreated below 5 percent last week, propping up demand for home loans after purchase applications sank to a nearly 13-year low in the prior week, the Mortgage Bankers Association said on Wednesday.February's volatile swings in housing demand came on the heels of a steep January sales slump, blamed mainly on unusually harsh winter weather.The industry group's market index, which measures requests for loans to buy homes and refinance, rose by a seasonally adjusted 14.6 percent in the week ended Feb. 26 to the highest level since mid-December.Purchase applications increased 9 percent while refinancing requests jumped 17.2 percent last week, as average 30-year mortgage rates fell 0.08 percentage point to 4.95 percent."Mortgage applications rebounded last week, particularly refis, as rates dropped back below 5 percent," Michael Fratantoni, vice president of research and economics at MBA, said in a statement. "Purchase activity remains subdued, with application volumes remaining within the narrow range seen in the last few months." ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ For related graphic, click on link.reuters.com/dar23j ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Refinancing loans represented about 69 percent of all applications last week.The 30-year mortgage rate, which the industry group said reached a record low of 4.61 percent almost a year ago, is seen headed as high as 6 percent after the Federal Reserve ends its $1.25 trillion in mortgage bond purchases on March 31. The program is aimed at keeping rates low to revive housing and the economy.The road to stabilization has been riddled with potholes.In January, sales of existing homes sank by more than 7 percent to the weakest level since June, and new home sales set a record low.Snow blasted most U.S. states, but the erratic sales pace in recent months also stems from the fits and starts of the $8,000 first-time home buyer tax credit.The credit pulled sales forward last year, as buyers raced to beat its November expiration. The incentive was ultimately extended, and expanded with a $6,500 move-up buyer credit, spurring a second wave of demand after a brief lull.To get these incentives qualified borrowers need to sign contracts by the end of April and close loans by the end of June. (Editing by Jeffrey Benkoe)   
 
Nab a real estate deal - while you still can PDF Print E-mail
Clipped by Sam Stamper   
Tuesday, 02 March 2010

If you've been holding off on a real estate purchase, glimmers of a turnaround in the housing market may have you wondering if it's finally time to make your move. While home prices remain low, they're no longer free-falling in most markets. Mortgages are historically cheap. And the sweet tax credit that was offered to new buyers last year has been extended to April 30 and expanded to include current homeowners too.
But for all the motivation to act quickly, buying right now is not a no-brainer. In some areas home prices may fall further. If you own a house now, it may take longer than you expect to sell it, and you may walk away with less cash than you thought. "It's a good time to buy, but it's still a really difficult market," says Patrick Newport of IHS Global Insight. As the clock ticks toward the tax-credit deadline, answer these questions to decide whether it's time to get off the sidelines. Can you really nab that tax credit? Current homeowners who sign a contract to buy a home on or before April 30 get a dollar-for-dollar reduction on their taxes of 10% of the purchase price of the home, up to a maximum of $6,500 (first-time buyers can get up to $8,000). But according to the National Association of Realtors, buyers spend about 12 weeks home shopping before making an offer, so if you haven't already started looking, you may be pressed to meet the deadline. Plus, to qualify for the full credit, your household income must be under $225,000 if you're married and less than $125,000 if you're single; repeat buyers must have lived in the home they are selling for five of the past eight years. The good news: Once you've signed the contract, you have until June 30 to close the deal. How much could you lose by waiting? Besides the loss of the tax credit, the biggest game-changer facing buyers is a potential jump in mortgage rates. If the Fed moves ahead with its plan to stop buying mortgage-backed securities at the end of March, the rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage is expected to increase nearly a percentage point from today's 5.18% to 6.1% by the end of 2010, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. On a $300,000 fixed-rate mortgage, that's an extra $174 per month. But if home values are falling in your area, you don't have much to lose by waiting. If the house you want costs $375,000 today and you put down 20%, you'd pay $1,644 a month for a fixed-rate mortgage at 5.18%. Buy that same home for 5% less later on with rates at 6% and you'd only pay an extra $65 a month. If prices plunge 10% or more this year (as they are expected to in 12% of markets, according to Fiserv), you'll come out even or ahead. To get a handle on the direction of your market, check trulia.com to see whether inventory levels are increasing, and visit realtytrac.com to find out whether foreclosure filings are still rising. A glut of properties and bank-owned homes means a recovery may not be in sight. How quickly can you sell the home you now own? Even in markets that are recovering, sellers must price aggressively to make a fast deal. "Everybody thinks their house is worth more than it is," says Dallas realtor Bruce Lynn. Before you sign a contract for a new place, ask a few agents to give you a realistic figure that will generate a quick sale. Can't bear to part with your home at that price? Waiting may be your only option. Also keep in mind that, with the credit crunch not far in the past, lenders may not approve your purchase until you've sold your home. A delay in sale could also stick you with two mortgages, far outstripping any savings from the tax credit. See if the sellers will let you put a contingency in the contract that negates the sale if you don't find a buyer -- it's a long shot but worth a try. If they won't, propose adding a kick-out clause that allows the sellers to keep their home on the market, but lets you either pull out or quickly move ahead with the deal if they get another offer. While extra contract negotiations may be a hassle, the past few years have proved that a purchase decision shouldn't be taken lightly. "This may be the best time in history to buy a home," says Denver realtor Jeff Fogler, "but only if you can really afford it."


 
For far too many homeowners, help still not on the way PDF Print E-mail
Clipped by Sam Stamper   
Monday, 01 March 2010

When the Obama administration was bailing out the financial industry last year, it also offered relief to strapped homeowners trying to stave off foreclosure. It said the Making Home Affordable program would help up to 4 million borrowers reduce their monthly house payments.

The initiative attracted lots of interest but has been a major disappointment, including in our region. And it's outrageous that some of the main culprits in the program's difficulties are the banks and mortgage firms whose excesses helped cause the housing crisis in the first place.

The finance companies are participating in the program, but they are not doing enough to make it work. In case after case, homeowners have to navigate a prolonged, nightmarish bureaucratic maze to try to take advantage of the assistance. Only a fraction of applicants have obtained permanent loan modifications.

"The biggest issue is that the banks aren't working it efficiently with the housing counselors [who advise homeowners] to move the process forward," said Chad Williams, executive director of the Coalition for Homeownership Preservation in Prince George's County.

Williams noted that the situation was different when the financial industry was peddling mortgages rather than renegotiating them. "Before the crisis, when counselors were working with people to get them into homes, the process went much smoother," he said.

The plan involves a straightforward trade-off. The government asks lenders to cut mortgage payments for eligible applicants by lowering their interest rates or extending the life of their loans. In return, the Treasury reimburses lenders for some of their costs.

But fewer than 200,000 applicants nationwide -- 2,446 in our area -- have succeeded in getting a long-term payment cut, as opposed to just a temporary one. Pressures on homeowners are rising, with foreclosure activity up 70 percent in Maryland from the first half to second half of last year.

Diana and Tim Moore, who own a five-bedroom colonial in Charles County, are potential casualties. They said they applied for relief under the plan in the spring. Their lender, Wells Fargo, said they were eligible. It granted them a temporary reduction in their mortgage payment from May through August, saving them a total of about $10,000.

Then it all went sour. The lender said the Moores weren't eligible after all and threatened to foreclose if they didn't repay the $10,000. When they protested, the bank said it would look again.

In January, Wells Fargo told them again that they were "pre-approved" and asked them to resubmit all their documents. They did so twice and received confirmation Feb. 5 that the paperwork had been received ahead of the deadline. But eight days later, the Moores were told that the modification was denied because the material wasn't sent in a timely manner. Now the foreclosure is scheduled for the end of March, and several of their credit cards have been canceled partly because they are listed as delinquent on the mortgage.

"What really burns us the most is we had not missed one payment in four years" before trying to take advantage of the federal plan, Diana Moore said. The couple originally sought the modification after their combined annual income fell by nearly $12,000 in recent years as they lost bonuses and overtime in their communications industry jobs.

In response to my query about the case, Wells Fargo said the Moores are "no longer eligible" for the program, without explanation. The bank assigned the loan to a new team leader to try a different approach. It said "the modification process is complex and, at times, results in confusion or poor communication."

The Moores' problems are entirely typical. Homeowners and counselors deal constantly with unreturned phone calls, lost documents and shifting guidance from lenders and service firms.

"It's taking four to six months to get answers to simple questions like: Is my client eligible? and, Do you have their paperwork?" said Carol Gilbert, assistant secretary of the Maryland Department of Housing and Community Development.

In part, the mortgage industry wasn't prepared for the avalanche of extra work created by the foreclosure crisis. It didn't have enough experienced staff members to deal with the problem.

"There's insufficient capacity in the industry to handle the volumes in a way that would make a material difference in the program," said Paul Koches, executive vice president of Ocwen Financial, an independent loan servicer.

The program has other difficulties. It isn't well suited to help certain kinds of borrowers, such as people who are unemployed or whose houses are worth less than their mortgages. For their part, banks and mortgage firms complain about homeowners who don't provide correct documentation or think they're eligible when they aren't.

The administration needs to look again at the project. Some in Congress are recommending fines or other punishments for lenders, or they want to completely revamp the program.

In any case, the banks and mortgage companies have to step up. We taxpayers bailed out the financial industry even though its binges helped cause the worst recession in seven decades. We have a right to demand that it properly train and deploy enough workers to answer the phones, keep track of faxes and give people a reasonable chance to save their homes

 
Another Foreclosure Alternative PDF Print E-mail
Clipped by Sam Stamper   
Saturday, 27 February 2010

HOMEOWNERS on the verge of foreclosure will often seek a short sale as a graceful exit from an otherwise calamitous financial situation. Their homes are sold for less than the mortgage amount, and the remaining loan balance is usually forgiven by the lender.

But with short sales beyond the reach of some homeowners — they typically won’t qualify if they have a second mortgage on the home — another foreclosure alternative is emerging: “deeds in lieu of foreclosure.”

In this transaction, a homeowner simply relinquishes the property, turning over the deed to the bank, in exchange for the lender’s promise not to foreclose. In a straight foreclosure, a lender takes legal control of the property and evicts the occupants; in deeds-in-lieu transactions, the homeowner is typically allowed to remain in the home for a short period of time after the agreement.

More borrowers will at least have the chance to consider this strategy in the coming months, as CitiMortgage, one of the nation’s biggest mortgage lenders, tests a new program in New Jersey, Texas, Florida, Illinois, Michigan and Ohio.

Citi recently agreed to give qualified borrowers six months in their homes before it takes them over. It will offer these homeowners $1,000 or more in relocation assistance, provided the property is in good condition. Previously, the bank had no formal process for serving borrowers who failed to qualify for Citi’s other foreclosure-avoidance programs like loan modification.

Citi’s new policy is similar to one announced last fall by Fannie Mae, the government-controlled mortgage company. Fannie is allowing homeowners to return the deed to their properties, then rent them back at market rates.

To qualify for the new program, Citi’s borrowers must be at least 90 days late on their mortgages and must not have a second lien on the home.

That policy may be a significant obstacle for borrowers, since many of the people facing foreclosure originally financed their homes with second mortgages — called “piggyback loans” — or borrowed against the homes’ equity after buying them.

Partly for that reason, Elizabeth Fogarty, a spokeswoman for Citi, said that the bank had only modest expectations for the test. Roughly 20,000 Citi mortgage customers in the pilot states will be eligible for a deed-in-lieu agreement, she said, and of those, about 1,000 will most likely complete the process.

As is often the case with deed-in-lieu settlements, Citi will release the borrower from all legal obligations to repay the loan.

In some states, like New York, New Jersey and Connecticut, banks can legally retain the right to pursue borrowers for the balance of the loan after a foreclosure, a short sale or a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure. That is one reason why housing advocates say borrowers should carefully weigh these transactions with the help of a lawyer or nonprofit housing counselor before proceeding.

Ms. Fogarty said Citi had no specific timetable for rolling out the program nationally.

Among the other major lenders, there is no formalized program for deeds-in-lieu. Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo, for instance, generally require borrowers to try a short sale before considering a deed-in-lieu transaction.

A deed-in-lieu is better for banks than a foreclosure because it reduces the company’s legal costs, and it is better for the homeowners because it is less damaging to their credit score.

Banks may also end up with homes in better condition.

J. K. Huey, a senior vice president at Wells Fargo, says her bank usually offers relocation assistance — often $1,000 to $2,500 — as long as the borrower leaves the property in move-in condition after a deed-in-lieu transaction.

“The idea is to help them transition in a way where they can keep their family intact while looking for another place to live,” Ms. Huey said. “This way, they only have to move once, as opposed to getting evicted.”

 
How High Will Mortgage Rates Go? PDF Print E-mail
Clipped by Sam Stamper   
Saturday, 27 February 2010

Moneywatch.com: Fed Actions Will Push Rates Up, but They Probably Won't Get Too Much Higher Too Quickly

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Of all the extraordinary ways the Federal Reserve mainlined dollars into our economy to stave off a second depression, its biggest program by far was the 18-month, $1.25 trillion purchase of mortgage backed securities (MBS). These securities are pools of thousands of individual mortgages, packaged and auctioned off to investors, to pay a steady rate of interest, much like bonds. When investors stopped buying in the credit crisis, Bernanke backed up the truck and started loading up. On April 1, he’s planning to close the door and drive away.

The Fed’s purchase program was designed to keep
mortgage rates low and stable, and to keep banks lending, and it worked. Though lending standards have generally gotten stricter, mortgages are readily available to qualified buyers, and 30-year fixed rates have hovered around 5 percent for more than a year-and-a-half. Once the economy started to recover, however, the Fed has said that it would end its purchase program on March 31, and the timing and specifics of how the Fed pursues its exit strategy are likely to have a profound effect on the economy and your financial life. One thing’s for sure, though: The interest rate you pay to buy a house or refinance a mortgage around April Fools Day.

That’s because the Fed’s massive purchases have been a stand-in of sorts for private investors. Scared off from the mortgage markets during the financial crisis that began in 2007, these investors, mainly large institutional money managers and investment banks, are just now beginning to step back in as the Fed steps out. But where the Fed was content to play caretaker, private investors will demand profits, and won’t be acting as monolithically as the Fed. As a result, mortgage rates will likely increase, as will their volatility.

Mortgages at ‘Rock Bottom’

Just how high rates will go, however, and when they’ll start to move, isn’t yet clear. Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors (NAR), says 30-year fixed rates are “rock bottom” and simply cannot stay at 5 percent. That much, economists, analysts, and the Fed all agree on. But just how high they’ll get is another question.

Fed Vice Chairman Donald Kohn
told a conference last month that any increase in rates is likely to be “modest” but added “that judgment is subject to considerable uncertainty.” Yun believes 30-year fixed rates will probably end up jumping to about 5.7 percent by year’s end. Freddie Mac, which issues many of the MBS being bought by the Fed, said in late December that rates would hit 6 percent by the end of 2010, sending a shock through the market. But Amy Crews Cutts, Freddie’s deputy chief economist, now foresees a rate increase more in line with Yun’s prediction, saying that any upward pressure on rates will likely be offset by a dropoff in demand. Bill Gross, head of Pimco, one of the largest and earliest private investors in mortgage-backed securities, believes that due to a rising interest rate environment in general, mortgage rates could settle anywhere between 6 to 6.5 percent, but admits at this point he’s simply making an educated guess.

Economist David Rosenberg of investment firm Gluskin Sheff also estimates that rates will end up north of 6 percent. Rosenberg is notably dour on the economy - he gave President Barack Obama an “F” for his handling of economic matters in a recent MoneyWatch
report card - but as he explained in a recent paper, his prediction is based primarily on the fact that the era of “unbelievable support for the housing market” by the Fed is coming to a close.

Rosenberg emphasizes that this will lead to “heightened volatility in all the markets,” so if you’re a homebuyer, the rate you qualify for when you start shopping for a house could be significantly different than the rate you end up with by the time you sign your mortgage. As a result, locking in a rate makes a lot of sense.

On a $300,000 loan, the difference between a 5 percent rate 6.5 percent is $300 per month, or nearly $100,000 over the life of the loan. So if rates do head higher, those larger monthly payments will squeeze buyers and could cause housing prices to fall.

Feds Trying to Keep Rates Low

Despite the looming end to the Fed’s MBS program, Bernanke and the Obama administration remain open to extraordinary measures. They’ve both expressed a clear desire to keep interest rates low, even if private investors don’t materialize, or if those investors demand ruinous rates of return on the MBS's they are willing to buy. Even now, government entities Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae have announced they will spend considerable money to smooth the functioning of the MBS market. And if those moves fail to spur private investors’ return to the market, the Fed itself has
signaled it would consider restarting its purchase program later this year.

The bottom line is that housing is just a far too large and interconnected sector of the economy to risk damaging any further. That’s why even pessimistic economists can’t imagine mortgage rates above 6.5 percent right now, and why Fannie and Freddie and ultimately the Fed are all ready to step back in should things falter, and are proceeding with such caution. Getting it wrong could worsen the unemployment picture and even spark inflation, setting the recovery effort back by years. “Housing is just so important for broader economic recovery,” says NAR’s Yun. “To pull the plug now would be a huge wasted effort over the past year, to start at page one again.”

What this means for you is that if you’re going to buy or refinance a home, interest rates probably aren’t going to get lower than they are right now, but don’t panic: They’re also not likely to get too high, either. And of course, there is one last thing to consider: the price of a home itself. The latest
Case-Shiller Home Price Index report from Standard & Poors shows that national home prices continued to decline in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, although at a much slower rate - 2.5 percent - than previously. (Keep in mind that different markets are seeing very different price movement: San Francisco is up; Vegas is down.) So even if you qualify for a rock-bottom rate buying may not be worthwhile in the near term. Especially not if you end up being underwater on your brand new mortgage.  
 
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